Technical Analysis and Comparison of Underlying Scenarios for the Forthcoming European Commission White Paper on a 2030 Framework for Climate and Energy Policies

Working paper based on preliminary documents

  • Publications 17.01.2014

The European Commission is expected to present its own vision for the further development of the EU's energy and climate policy framework in its White Paper "For a 2030 climate and energy policy framework" on 22 January 2014. At this decisive point in the political debate the Wuppertal Institute presents a brief working paper that analyses some of the analytical work - particularly the underlying energy and GHG emission scenarios - behind the Commission's proposals to be presented in the forthcoming White Paper. The authors point out, that the newly developed long-term EU scenarios do not reflect the full range of visions found within society for a future decarbonised European energy system. This fact, together with the scenario's focus on developments until the year 2030 might lead to wrong mid-term decisions in regard to technology and infrastructure choices. In addition, the Wuppertal Institute working paper draws attention to various interesting findings of the scenarios themselves.