Mitigation Commitments and Fair Effort Sharing in a New Comprehensive Climate Agreement Starting 2020

  • Project no.2281
  • Duration 08/2013 - 05/2016

In the framwork of the negotiations of the Paris Climate Agreement, this project was to support the German government in analysing advantages and disadvantages of different forms of commitments, as well as in assessing which level of ambition could be expected from 15 industrialised, emerging and developing countries. The countries are Brazil, China, Ethiopia, the EU, India, Japan, the Maldives, Mexico, Morocco, the Phillipines, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, the USA and Venezuela.

In detail, the project delivered the following results:

  • A survey of the scientific literature on possible forms of commitments and regime architectures and their respective advantages and disadvantages
  • A quantitative modelling of the mitigation potential available in the selected countries
  • A calculation of "fair shares" based on different effort sharing proposals
  • An assessment of the domestic climate political framework conditions in the selected countries to determine the political viability of ambitious commitments

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